MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 16:49:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Newtown logo

Cardiff MU
2 - 1
Newtown

Clubb (50'), H (90+1')
Craven (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Williams (53')
Sears (43'), Smith (45+2'), Roberts (89'), Hughes (90+7')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Barry
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 4-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
32.21% (0.551 0.55) 25.03% (-0.175 -0.17) 42.76% (-0.375 -0.38)
Both teams to score 56.63% (0.822 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (0.969 0.97)46.68% (-0.96700000000001 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05% (0.901 0.9)68.95% (-0.90000000000001 -0.9)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (0.83199999999999 0.83)27.56% (-0.831 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91% (1.06 1.06)63.08% (-1.06 -1.06)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.18% (0.238 0.24)21.82% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.96% (0.357 0.36)55.04% (-0.356 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 32.21%
    Newtown AFC 42.76%
    Draw 25.02%
Cardiff MUDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.6% (0.101 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.107 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 32.21%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.248 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.117 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.311 -0.31)
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.97% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.56% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.54% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.079 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 42.76%

Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Newtown
2-1
Cardiff MU
Sears (17'), Williams (31')
Cowans (84'), Roberts (89')
Craven (42')
Clubb (88'), McCarthy (90+3')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Newtown
1-2
Cardiff MU
Jones (49')
Jones (54'), Evans (80' pen.)
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Cardiff MU
0-0
Newtown
Dec 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Cardiff MU
2-1
Newtown
Evans (2'), Roberts (72')
Chubb (20' og.)
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Newtown
0-1
Cardiff MU
Rees (42')
rhs 2.0
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