MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 16:47:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 1
Haverfordwest

Williams (4')
Jones (64'), Sears (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wycherley (37' og.)
Owen (45+4')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Newtown
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 2-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 18.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawHaverfordwest County
58.64% (0.466 0.47) 22.44% (-0.163 -0.16) 18.92% (-0.31 -0.31)
Both teams to score 51.69% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.14% (0.239 0.24)46.85% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.89% (0.223 0.22)69.11% (-0.229 -0.23)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35% (0.235 0.23)15.65% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.33% (0.443 0.44)44.67% (-0.449 -0.45)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.28% (-0.203 -0.2)38.71% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.55% (-0.19 -0.19)75.45% (0.185 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 58.63%
    Haverfordwest County 18.92%
    Draw 22.44%
Newtown AFCDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.42% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.11% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 58.63%
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.44%
0-1 @ 5.75% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 18.92%

Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Haverfordwest
0-4
Newtown

Whitmore (70'), Fawcett (72'), Tabone (83')
Cowans (17'), Williams (36', 71'), Ismail (90+5')
Sutton (45')
May 13, 2023 5.15pm
Newtown
1-1
Haverfordwest
Haverfordwest win 4-3 on penalties
Williams (38')
Sears (120+2')
Davies (24')
Dec 11, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Newtown
2-0
Haverfordwest
Aris (29'), Hesden (84')
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Haverfordwest
2-3
Newtown
Rees (15'), Wilson (45+2')
Robles (29'), Williams (64', 85')
Sears (7'), Hughes (11'), Walker (41'), Wharton (90+2')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Newtown
1-1
Haverfordwest
Williams (76' pen.)
Walker (90+1')
Williams (9')
Scotcher (33'), Idzi (63')
rhs 2.0
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