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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
5 - 1
Cardiff MU

Wynne (3', 25'), Thomas (42', 88'), Lang (73' og.)
Edwards (80')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Evans (30')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

Last Six:
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-4 Cardiff MU
Saturday, August 20 at 5.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
27.42% (-0.24 -0.24) 26.2% (-0.193 -0.19) 46.38% (0.433 0.43)
Both teams to score 50.24% (0.403 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.23% (0.604 0.6)53.77% (-0.605 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.75% (0.506 0.51)75.25% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.38% (0.131 0.13)34.62% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.66% (0.14 0.14)71.34% (-0.14 -0.14)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (0.464 0.46)23.15% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (0.673 0.67)57.03% (-0.673 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 27.42%
    Cardiff MU 46.37%
    Draw 26.2%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.51% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 27.42%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 11.72% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 8.58% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.091 0.09)
0-3 @ 4.18% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.057 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.055 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 46.37%

Head to Head
May 7, 2022 5.15pm
Caernarfon
1-0
Cardiff MU
Hayes (45+1')
Donohue (63'), Thomas (72')

Chubb (78')
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Mendes (31'), Harrison (67')

Craven (43'), Roscrow (68')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
0-0
Caernarfon

Price (84')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
0-1
Caernarfon

Craven (15'), Roscrow (53')
Thomas (23')
Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Gosset (28'), Hayes (54')
Bailey (23'), Thomas (64'), Cartwright (71'), Hayes (90+2'), Hayes (90+3')

Evans (45')
rhs 2.0
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