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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
5 - 1
Cardiff MU

Wynne (3', 25'), Thomas (42', 88'), Lang (73' og.)
Edwards (80')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Evans (30')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

Last Six:
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-4 Cardiff MU
Saturday, August 20 at 5.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
27.42% (-0.24 -0.24) 26.2% (-0.193 -0.19) 46.38% (0.433 0.43)
Both teams to score 50.24% (0.403 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.23% (0.604 0.6)53.77% (-0.605 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.75% (0.506 0.51)75.25% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.38% (0.131 0.13)34.62% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.66% (0.14 0.14)71.34% (-0.14 -0.14)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (0.464 0.46)23.15% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (0.673 0.67)57.03% (-0.673 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 27.42%
    Cardiff MU 46.37%
    Draw 26.2%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.51% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 27.42%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 11.72% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 8.58% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.091 0.09)
0-3 @ 4.18% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.057 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.055 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 46.37%

Head to Head
May 7, 2022 5.15pm
Caernarfon
1-0
Cardiff MU
Hayes (45+1')
Donohue (63'), Thomas (72')

Chubb (78')
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Mendes (31'), Harrison (67')

Craven (43'), Roscrow (68')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
0-0
Caernarfon

Price (84')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
0-1
Caernarfon

Craven (15'), Roscrow (53')
Thomas (23')
Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Gosset (28'), Hayes (54')
Bailey (23'), Thomas (64'), Cartwright (71'), Hayes (90+2'), Hayes (90+3')

Evans (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints28230578285069
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont27166548272154
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest27139535191648
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU27125104137441
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon28125114446-241
6Bala TownBala Town2771193434032
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry2812794447-343
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay281151243291438
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2893163758-2130
4Briton Ferry2875164358-1526
5Newtown AFCNewtown2868143153-2226
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2852212365-4217
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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