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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Feb 12, 2022 at 5.15pm UK
The Oval
Bala Town logo

Caernarfon
3 - 3
Bala Town

Faux (49'), Bradley (71'), Jones (84')
Donohue (37')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ebbe (14', 44'), Evans (86')
Smith (90'), Evans (90+3')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Bala Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 59.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
19.23%21.13%59.63%
Both teams to score 56.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.41%40.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.03%62.97%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.28%34.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.55%71.45%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.74%13.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.95%40.05%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 19.23%
    Bala Town 59.63%
    Draw 21.13%
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
2-1 @ 5.21%
1-0 @ 4.87%
2-0 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 1.85%
3-1 @ 1.84%
3-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 19.23%
1-1 @ 9.84%
2-2 @ 5.26%
0-0 @ 4.6%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.13%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-2 @ 9.4%
0-1 @ 9.3%
1-3 @ 6.7%
0-3 @ 6.33%
2-3 @ 3.54%
1-4 @ 3.38%
0-4 @ 3.2%
2-4 @ 1.79%
1-5 @ 1.37%
0-5 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 59.63%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Bala Town
3-0
Caernarfon
Ebbe (36'), Shannon (71', 90+5')
Smith (75')

Hughes (29'), Bailey (55'), Thomas (62'), Jones (82')
Bailey (56')
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
3-0
Bala Town
Cleworth (11', 45'), Bradley (54')

Stephens (52'), Smith (69'), Smith (79')
Apr 17, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 2
Bala Town
5-2
Caernarfon
Venables (20', 89'), Spittle (57'), Evans (69', 90+3')
Evans (14'), Venables (35'), Spittle (45+2'), A (45+2')
Bickerstaff (33'), Hayes (45+2' pen.)
Edwards (36'), M (56')
Mar 20, 2021 2.45pm
Gameweek 18
Bala Town
1-2
Caernarfon
Evans (16')
Kay (45+1'), Jones (53')
Hayes (47'), Mendes (70')
Williams (52'), Bickerstaff (82'), Cleworth (90+2')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Caernarfon
1-1
Bala Town
Edwards (20')
(7'), Williams (57')
Venables (45+1' pen.)
Kay (16'), Pryce (79'), Ramsey (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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