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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Feb 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 

Bala Town
3 - 0
Caernarfon

Ebbe (36'), Shannon (71', 90+5')
Smith (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hughes (29'), Bailey (55'), Thomas (62'), Jones (82')
Bailey (56')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
48.56%23.07%28.37%
Both teams to score 61.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.37%39.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.02%61.98%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.42%16.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.63%46.37%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44%26.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.22%61.78%
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 48.56%
    Caernarfon Town 28.37%
    Draw 23.07%
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.43%
1-0 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 7.11%
3-1 @ 5.65%
3-0 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 3.74%
4-1 @ 2.54%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 48.56%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 4.4%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.07%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-1 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 3.87%
1-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 1.71%
1-4 @ 1.02%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 28.37%

Head to Head
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
3-0
Bala Town
Cleworth (11', 45'), Bradley (54')

Stephens (52'), Smith (69'), Smith (79')
Apr 17, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 2
Bala Town
5-2
Caernarfon
Venables (20', 89'), Spittle (57'), Evans (69', 90+3')
Evans (14'), Venables (35'), Spittle (45+2'), A (45+2')
Bickerstaff (33'), Hayes (45+2' pen.)
Edwards (36'), M (56')
Mar 20, 2021 2.45pm
Gameweek 18
Bala Town
1-2
Caernarfon
Evans (16')
Kay (45+1'), Jones (53')
Hayes (47'), Mendes (70')
Williams (52'), Bickerstaff (82'), Cleworth (90+2')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Caernarfon
1-1
Bala Town
Edwards (20')
(7'), Williams (57')
Venables (45+1' pen.)
Kay (16'), Pryce (79'), Ramsey (90')
Mar 20, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Bala Town
P-P
Caernarfon
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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