Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon3 - 1Airbus UK
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Airbus UK Broughton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newtown 2-1 Caernarfon
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Haverfordwest County | 4 | 3 | 7 |
6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 4 | 6 |
7 | Connah's Quay Nomads | 4 | -1 | 6 |
Last Game: Airbus UK 1-3 Flint Town
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Pontypridd Town AFC | 4 | -5 | 3 |
11 | Aberystwyth Town | 4 | -6 | 3 |
12 | Airbus UK Broughton | 4 | -7 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
41.37% ( 0.56) | 24.54% ( -0.35) | 34.09% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 58.99% ( 1.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.12% ( 1.57) | 43.88% ( -1.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.73% ( 1.52) | 66.26% ( -1.53) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.72% ( 0.94) | 21.28% ( -0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.79% ( 1.44) | 54.2% ( -1.45) |
Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% ( 0.62) | 25.06% ( -0.63) |