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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
3 - 1
Airbus UK

Bradley (50', 90', 90'), Hughes (76')
Cartwright (83'), Cartwright (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tomassen (40')
Eyre (65')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Airbus UK Broughton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Newtown 2-1 Caernarfon
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Airbus UK Broughton

Last Six:
Last Game: Airbus UK 1-3 Flint Town
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawAirbus UK Broughton
41.37% (0.56 0.56) 24.54% (-0.349 -0.35) 34.09% (-0.217 -0.22)
Both teams to score 58.99% (1.195 1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.12% (1.572 1.57)43.88% (-1.58 -1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.73% (1.52 1.52)66.26% (-1.526 -1.53)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (0.94199999999999 0.94)21.28% (-0.949 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.79% (1.442 1.44)54.2% (-1.449 -1.45)
Airbus UK Broughton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (0.621 0.62)25.06% (-0.628 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (0.854 0.85)59.74% (-0.86199999999999 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 41.37%
    Airbus UK Broughton 34.09%
    Draw 24.54%
Caernarfon TownDrawAirbus UK Broughton
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.159 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.165 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.109 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.151 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.377 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.381 -0.38)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.04 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.09%

Head to Head
Dec 13, 2019 7.45pm
Caernarfon
5-0
Airbus UK
Thomas (58', 71'), Bradley (66'), Smith (86'), Jones (90')
Aug 30, 2019 8pm
Airbus UK
2-3
Caernarfon
Owens (7'), Edwards (72')
Sargent (19'), Palmer (38'), Gharbaoui (46'), Phillips (54'), Owens (80')
Strong (71' og.), Thomas (79'), Breese (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont118211951426
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest11632134921
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU116231711620
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon105231712517
5Bala TownBala Town114431612416
6The New SaintsNew Saints75022071315
7Newtown AFCNewtown114341523-815
8Barry Town UnitedBarry113441218-613
9Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay103251412211
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town113171318-510
11Briton Ferry9126821-135
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth11119526-214
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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