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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
3 - 1
Airbus UK

Bradley (50', 90', 90'), Hughes (76')
Cartwright (83'), Cartwright (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tomassen (40')
Eyre (65')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Airbus UK Broughton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Newtown 2-1 Caernarfon
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Airbus UK Broughton

Last Six:
Last Game: Airbus UK 1-3 Flint Town
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawAirbus UK Broughton
41.37% (0.56 0.56) 24.54% (-0.349 -0.35) 34.09% (-0.217 -0.22)
Both teams to score 58.99% (1.195 1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.12% (1.572 1.57)43.88% (-1.58 -1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.73% (1.52 1.52)66.26% (-1.526 -1.53)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (0.94199999999999 0.94)21.28% (-0.949 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.79% (1.442 1.44)54.2% (-1.449 -1.45)
Airbus UK Broughton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (0.621 0.62)25.06% (-0.628 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (0.854 0.85)59.74% (-0.86199999999999 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 41.37%
    Airbus UK Broughton 34.09%
    Draw 24.54%
Caernarfon TownDrawAirbus UK Broughton
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.159 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.165 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.109 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.151 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.377 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.381 -0.38)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.04 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.09%

Head to Head
Dec 13, 2019 7.45pm
Caernarfon
5-0
Airbus UK
Thomas (58', 71'), Bradley (66'), Smith (86'), Jones (90')
Aug 30, 2019 8pm
Airbus UK
2-3
Caernarfon
Owens (7'), Edwards (72')
Sargent (19'), Palmer (38'), Gharbaoui (46'), Phillips (54'), Owens (80')
Strong (71' og.), Thomas (79'), Breese (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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