MX23RW : Monday, December 23 19:26:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
3 - 1
Airbus UK

Bradley (50', 90', 90'), Hughes (76')
Cartwright (83'), Cartwright (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tomassen (40')
Eyre (65')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Airbus UK Broughton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Newtown 2-1 Caernarfon
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Airbus UK Broughton

Last Six:
Last Game: Airbus UK 1-3 Flint Town
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawAirbus UK Broughton
41.37% (0.56 0.56) 24.54% (-0.349 -0.35) 34.09% (-0.217 -0.22)
Both teams to score 58.99% (1.195 1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.12% (1.572 1.57)43.88% (-1.58 -1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.73% (1.52 1.52)66.26% (-1.526 -1.53)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (0.94199999999999 0.94)21.28% (-0.949 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.79% (1.442 1.44)54.2% (-1.449 -1.45)
Airbus UK Broughton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (0.621 0.62)25.06% (-0.628 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (0.854 0.85)59.74% (-0.86199999999999 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 41.37%
    Airbus UK Broughton 34.09%
    Draw 24.54%
Caernarfon TownDrawAirbus UK Broughton
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.159 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.165 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.109 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.151 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.377 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.381 -0.38)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.04 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.09%

Head to Head
Dec 13, 2019 7.45pm
Caernarfon
5-0
Airbus UK
Thomas (58', 71'), Bradley (66'), Smith (86'), Jones (90')
Aug 30, 2019 8pm
Airbus UK
2-3
Caernarfon
Owens (7'), Edwards (72')
Sargent (19'), Palmer (38'), Gharbaoui (46'), Phillips (54'), Owens (80')
Strong (71' og.), Thomas (79'), Breese (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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