MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 21:51:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Llanelian Road

Colwyn Bay
2 - 3
Connah's Quay

Cumming (28'), Akpan (75' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davies (37'), Franklin (52'), Wilde (78')
Edwards (13'), Nash (26'), Morris (74')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Colwyn Bay and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-2 Haverfordwest
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 53.93%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Colwyn BayDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
24.15% (-0.464 -0.46) 21.92% (0.141 0.14) 53.93% (0.32100000000001 0.32)
Both teams to score 61.19% (-1.075 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.09% (-1.172 -1.17)37.91% (1.169 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.83% (-1.263 -1.26)60.17% (1.259 1.26)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-0.999 -1)28.75% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (-1.262 -1.26)64.59% (1.26 1.26)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.87% (-0.303 -0.3)14.12% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.23% (-0.591 -0.59)41.77% (0.588 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Colwyn Bay 24.15%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 53.93%
    Draw 21.92%
Colwyn BayDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 6.18% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.06% (0.144 0.14)
2-0 @ 3.16% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 24.15%
1-1 @ 9.91% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.06% (0.224 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.92%
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.068 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.95% (0.355 0.36)
0-2 @ 7.78% (0.267 0.27)
1-3 @ 6.33% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.07% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.94% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-4 @ 3.1% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.48% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.93% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.21% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 53.93%

How you voted: Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay

Colwyn Bay
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Connah's Quay Nomads
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Connah's Quay
2-1
Colwyn Bay
Davies (60'), Bratley (70')
Disney (20')
Akpan (64')
Holmes (59'), Downes (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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