MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 13:03:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
1 - 1
Caernarfon

Ukek (11')
Peate (34'), Roberts (45+1'), Smith (61'), Abadaki (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davies (45+3')
Wynne (37'), Donohue (39'), Thomas (60')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-3 Bala Town
Friday, November 17 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-3 Barry
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 68.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 13.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
68.27% (-0.142 -0.14) 18.34% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 13.38% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.89% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.04% (0.052999999999997 0.05)38.96% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.72% (0.057000000000002 0.06)61.28% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.58% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)10.42% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.01% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)33.99% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.04% (0.187 0.19)40.96% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.48% (0.166 0.17)77.52% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 68.27%
    Caernarfon Town 13.38%
    Draw 18.34%
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-0 @ 10.91% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.23% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.65% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.1% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.88% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 68.27%
1-1 @ 8.62% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.34%
1-2 @ 3.85% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.81% (0.01 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.7% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 13.38%

Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
1-1
Bala Town
Clarke (75')
Arsan (56')
Peate (41'), Harrison (68'), Shannon (69')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Bala Town
3-0
Caernarfon
Newell (16'), Roscrow (40'), Venables (89' pen.)
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Caernarfon
1-5
Bala Town
Thomas (5')
Kay (10'), Nalatche Mendes (34'), Wall (51'), Shannon (65'), Davies (90+2')
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
0-2
Bala Town

Donohue (55')
Simpson (80')
Evans (55'), Ebbe (75')
Feb 12, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 19
Caernarfon
3-3
Bala Town
Faux (49'), Bradley (71'), Jones (84')
Donohue (37')
Ebbe (14', 44'), Evans (86')
Smith (90'), Evans (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!