Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid
Bala Town1 - 1Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-3 Bala Town
Friday, November 17 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, November 17 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-3 Barry
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 68.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 13.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bala Town | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
68.27% ( -0.14) | 18.34% ( 0.04) | 13.38% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 52.89% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.04% ( 0.05) | 38.96% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.72% ( 0.06) | 61.28% ( -0.05) |
Bala Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.58% ( -0.02) | 10.42% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.01% ( -0.05) | 33.99% ( 0.05) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.04% ( 0.19) | 40.96% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.48% ( 0.17) | 77.52% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Bala Town 68.27%
Caernarfon Town 13.38%
Draw 18.34%
Bala Town | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
2-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.49% Total : 68.27% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.34% | 1-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 13.38% |
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
1-1
Bala Town
Clarke (75')
Arsan (56')
Peate (41'), Harrison (68'), Shannon (69')
Peate (41'), Harrison (68'), Shannon (69')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-10-01 11:12:21
FT
Titans
31-12
Dolphins
FT
Seahawks
29-42
Lions
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 23 |
2 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 20 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Bala TownBala Town | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
5 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 15 |
6 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
7 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 14 |
8 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 |
9 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 5 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 4 |
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