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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Llanelian Road

Colwyn Bay
0 - 4
Caernarfon


Sirrell (29')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomas (36'), Davies (61', 71'), Clarke (66')
Gosset (7'), Donohue (32'), Thomas (39'), Mooney (45+2'), Bradley (57'), Lloyd (89'), Lloyd (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Colwyn Bay and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colwyn Bay

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 3-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 22 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 68.77%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 13.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 1-0 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Colwyn BayDrawCaernarfon Town
68.77% (0.194 0.19) 17.41% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 13.81% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 57.75% (-0.472 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.65% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)33.34% (0.35 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.88% (-0.408 -0.41)55.11% (0.40199999999999 0.4)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.19% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)8.81% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.79% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)30.2% (0.112 0.11)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.32% (-0.485 -0.48)36.67% (0.479 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (-0.487 -0.49)73.46% (0.48 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Colwyn Bay 68.77%
    Caernarfon Town 13.81%
    Draw 17.41%
Colwyn BayDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.53% (0.133 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.85% (0.127 0.13)
3-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.72% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
4-1 @ 4.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.69% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.28% (0.017 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-1 @ 0.93% (-0.007 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 68.77%
1-1 @ 7.87% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.23% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.41%
1-2 @ 3.95% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.24% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 13.81%

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