Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Ynysangharad Park
Pontypridd1 - 2Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newtown 3-1 Pontypridd
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-1 Caernarfon
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
43.83% ( -2.97) | 23.33% ( 0.23) | 32.83% ( 2.74) |
Both teams to score 62.96% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.5% ( 0.18) | 38.5% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.2% ( 0.19) | 60.79% ( -0.19) |
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.02% ( -1.1) | 17.97% ( 1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.18% ( -1.91) | 48.81% ( 1.91) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.75% ( 1.72) | 23.24% ( -1.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.84% ( 2.45) | 57.15% ( -2.45) |
Score Analysis |
Pontypridd Town AFC 43.83%
Caernarfon Town 32.83%
Draw 23.33%
Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.28) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.52) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.44) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.25) Other @ 3.81% Total : 43.83% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.42) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.29) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.2) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.83% |
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 8
Caernarfon
1-0
Pontypridd
Mooney (84')
Cartwright (45+2'), Bradley (86'), Davies (90')
Cartwright (45+2'), Bradley (86'), Davies (90')
Shepherd (25'), Margetson (69'), Leo Martins (75')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
2-0
Pontypridd
Bradley (62'), Faux (65')
Cartwright (33'), Gosset (68')
Cartwright (33'), Gosset (68')
Woodiwiss (30')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 37 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 36 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 24 |
7 | Bala TownBala Town | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 14 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 11 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 10 |
> Welsh Premier League Full Table |
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