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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
3 - 1
Connah's Quay

Mendes (18'), Thomas (45+1'), Clarke (56')
Thomas (28'), Sears (85'), Faux (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Disney (83' pen.)
Marriott (38')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flint Town 1-2 Caernarfon
Wednesday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 Newtown
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 18.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
18.87% (-0.156 -0.16) 20.39% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1) 60.74% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 58.6% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.32% (0.209 0.21)37.68% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.08% (0.224 0.22)59.92% (-0.226 -0.23)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)33.38% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)70% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.97% (0.13300000000001 0.13)12.03% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.49% (0.28299999999999 0.28)37.5% (-0.288 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 18.87%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 60.74%
    Draw 20.39%
Caernarfon TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 5.12% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.41% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.42% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 18.87%
1-1 @ 9.33% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.02% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.39%
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 9% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.98% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.36% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.83% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.69% (0.037 0.04)
0-4 @ 3.37% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 2.03% (0.018 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.56% (0.024 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.43% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 60.74%

Head to Head
Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Caernarfon
2-1
Connah's Quay
Lloyd (53'), Williams (58')
Donohue (15'), Williams (90+4')
Davies (90+6' pen.)
Roberts (65')
Feb 2, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Connah's Quay
1-1
Caernarfon
Harrington (75')
Bratley (70'), Morris (90+4')
Wilde (59')
Davies (22')
Williams (89')
Oct 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Connah's Quay
6-1
Caernarfon
Franklin (2', 6', 11', 45+2'), Kenny (45+8'), Williams (73')
Kenny (20')
Lloyd (79')
Williams (14'), Maher (54'), Lloyd (90')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
0-4
Connah's Quay

Thomas (37'), Austin (61'), Donohue (71'), Gosset (75')
Poole (10'), Kenny (55'), Davies (70' pen.), Edwards (77')
Nov 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Connah's Quay
3-3
Caernarfon
Nash (69'), Malkin (74', 90+4')
O'Rourke (10'), Faux (50'), Marsh-Hughes (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU188462722528
5Barry Town UnitedBarry178452729-228
6Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon177462425-125
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1852112335-1217
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110


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