Connah's Quay

6 - 1

Caernarfon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 72.23%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.