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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 1
Connah's Quay

Lloyd (53'), Williams (58')
Donohue (15'), Williams (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Davies (90+6' pen.)
Roberts (65')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 1-1 Caernarfon
Friday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-5 New Saints
Friday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 15.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 0-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
15.28% (0.0020000000000007 0) 18.5% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 66.21% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.59% (0.118 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.63% (0.14700000000001 0.15)35.37% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.6% (0.16399999999999 0.16)57.39% (-0.165 -0.16)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.94% (0.097000000000001 0.1)36.05% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17% (0.101 0.1)72.83% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.05% (0.046000000000006 0.05)9.94% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.11% (0.10799999999999 0.11)32.89% (-0.109 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 15.28%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 66.21%
    Draw 18.5%
Caernarfon TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 4.31%
1-0 @ 3.66% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.87% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 15.28%
1-1 @ 8.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.58% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 18.5%
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.33% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 4.24% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-3 @ 3.83% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.21% (0.013 0.01)
1-5 @ 2% (0.011 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-5 @ 1.02% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 66.21%

Head to Head
Feb 2, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Connah's Quay
1-1
Caernarfon
Harrington (75')
Bratley (70'), Morris (90+4')
Wilde (59')
Davies (22')
Williams (89')
Oct 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Connah's Quay
6-1
Caernarfon
Franklin (2', 6', 11', 45+2'), Kenny (45+8'), Williams (73')
Kenny (20')
Lloyd (79')
Williams (14'), Maher (54'), Lloyd (90')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
0-4
Connah's Quay

Thomas (37'), Austin (61'), Donohue (71'), Gosset (75')
Poole (10'), Kenny (55'), Davies (70' pen.), Edwards (77')
Nov 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Connah's Quay
3-3
Caernarfon
Nash (69'), Malkin (74', 90+4')
O'Rourke (10'), Faux (50'), Marsh-Hughes (65')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
0-2
Connah's Quay
Stratulis (70'), Edwards (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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