MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 07:01:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Bala Town logo

Caernarfon
0 - 0
Bala Town


Davies (16'), Mooney (42'), Downey (81'), John Williams (86'), Williams (90')
FT

Kargbo (81'), Robles (88')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 0-4 Caernarfon
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 2-0 Flint Town
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
28.59% (-0.126 -0.13) 24.53% (0.035999999999998 0.04) 46.88% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 56.36% (-0.207 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.85% (-0.234 -0.23)46.15% (0.227 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.55% (-0.222 -0.22)68.45% (0.214 0.21)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (-0.209 -0.21)29.74% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (-0.253 -0.25)65.8% (0.24499999999999 0.24)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.22% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)19.77% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.17% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)51.82% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 28.59%
    Bala Town 46.88%
    Draw 24.52%
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 7.13% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.32% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 28.59%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 9.53% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.72% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.17% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.05% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.69% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 46.88%

Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
Gameweek 10
Caernarfon
2-2
Bala Town
Clarke (34'), Lloyd (68')
Cartwright (26')
Arsan (41'), Peate (52')
Smith (27'), Arsan (36'), Absalom (44')
Absalom (47')
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Bala Town
1-1
Caernarfon
Newell (40')
Arsan (57'), Roberts (76')
Davies (50')
Gosset (45+2'), Owen (71'), Bradley (90+5')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Bala Town
1-1
Caernarfon
Ukek (11')
Peate (34'), Roberts (45+1'), Smith (61'), Abadaki (79')
Davies (45+3')
Wynne (37'), Donohue (39'), Thomas (60')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
1-1
Bala Town
Clarke (75')
Arsan (56')
Peate (41'), Harrison (68'), Shannon (69')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Bala Town
3-0
Caernarfon
Newell (16'), Roscrow (40'), Venables (89' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110


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