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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
1 - 1
Caernarfon

Snaith (10')
George (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lloyd (9')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 4-0 Barry
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-2 Briton Ferry
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 53.26%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 24.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
53.26% (-0.503 -0.5) 22.13% (0.183 0.18) 24.61% (0.313 0.31)
Both teams to score 61% (-0.294 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.6% (-0.54900000000001 -0.55)38.4% (0.543 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.31% (-0.583 -0.58)60.69% (0.578 0.58)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)14.51% (0.345 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.48% (-0.68 -0.68)42.51% (0.67299999999999 0.67)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)28.65% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)64.46% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 53.26%
    Caernarfon Town 24.61%
    Draw 22.13%
Barry Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.02% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.88% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 53.26%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.106 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 6.27% (0.067 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.2% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 24.61%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Caernarfon
2-3
Barry
Lloyd (12'), Davies (32')
Mooney (33'), Gosset (44'), Maher (79')
Mooney (38')
Bright (26'), Cotterill (56'), Hulbert (90+6')
Cotterill (44'), Blythe (63'), Sainty (69'), McLaggon (90+6')
Sep 30, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Barry
0-3
Caernarfon

Press (76'), Cotterill (90+4'), Cotterill (90+4')
Clarke (27'), Richard Williams (41'), Davies (71')
Apr 9, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 7
Barry
1-1
Caernarfon
McLaggon (45+1' pen.)
Hood (17'), Kavanagh (61')
Harrison (62')
Eardley (31'), Morris (43'), (45+2'), Owens (65')
Horan (45')
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 22
Barry
1-2
Caernarfon
Cotterill (36')
Green (69')
Hayes (4', 58')
Gosset (12')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Caernarfon
1-2
Barry
Bradley (55')
Beaumont (8'), Bailey (41'), John (47'), Cartwright (59'), Jones (90+1')
McLaggon (11'), Cotterill (37')
Abbruzzese (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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