MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 17:50:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
0 - 1
Cardiff MU


Owen (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Evans (34')
Evans (70'), Evans (73'), Rees (83')
Evans (75')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 3-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 22 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-0 Haverfordwest (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 6 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 38%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawCardiff MU
36.87% (0.187 0.19) 25.13% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 38% (-0.267 -0.27)
Both teams to score 57.3% (-0.277 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (-0.36 -0.36)46.25% (0.359 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46% (-0.34 -0.34)68.54% (0.339 0.34)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)24.6% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)59.11% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)24% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.75% (-0.435 -0.43)58.25% (0.432 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 36.87%
    Cardiff MU 38%
    Draw 25.12%
Aberystwyth TownDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.28% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 36.87%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.089 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.12%
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 38%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Cardiff MU
2-1
Aberystwyth
Rees (9', 28')
Darlington (81')
Aug 20, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
0-4
Cardiff MU
Jones (8', 29', 34'), Evans (70')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff MU
1-1
Aberystwyth
McCarthy (48')
Price (8'), Evans (31'), Roscrow (79')
Jenkins (8')
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
0-2
Cardiff MU

Davies (32'), Franklin (81')
Lewis (72'), Evans (76')
McCarthy (82'), Chubb (86')
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Cardiff MU
0-1
Aberystwyth

Evans (64'), Clubb (90+5')
Owen (10')
Correia (32'), Owen (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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