MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 01:13:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
0 - 1
Cardiff MU


Owen (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Evans (34')
Evans (70'), Evans (73'), Rees (83')
Evans (75')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 3-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 22 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-0 Haverfordwest (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 6 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 38%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawCardiff MU
36.87% (0.187 0.19) 25.13% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 38% (-0.267 -0.27)
Both teams to score 57.3% (-0.277 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (-0.36 -0.36)46.25% (0.359 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46% (-0.34 -0.34)68.54% (0.339 0.34)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)24.6% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)59.11% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)24% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.75% (-0.435 -0.43)58.25% (0.432 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 36.87%
    Cardiff MU 38%
    Draw 25.12%
Aberystwyth TownDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.28% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 36.87%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.089 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.12%
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 38%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Cardiff MU
2-1
Aberystwyth
Rees (9', 28')
Darlington (81')
Aug 20, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
0-4
Cardiff MU
Jones (8', 29', 34'), Evans (70')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff MU
1-1
Aberystwyth
McCarthy (48')
Price (8'), Evans (31'), Roscrow (79')
Jenkins (8')
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
0-2
Cardiff MU

Davies (32'), Franklin (81')
Lewis (72'), Evans (76')
McCarthy (82'), Chubb (86')
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Cardiff MU
0-1
Aberystwyth

Evans (64'), Clubb (90+5')
Owen (10')
Correia (32'), Owen (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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