MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 17:19:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
0 - 1
Cardiff MU


Owen (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Evans (34')
Evans (70'), Evans (73'), Rees (83')
Evans (75')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 3-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 22 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-0 Haverfordwest (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 6 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 38%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawCardiff MU
36.87% (0.187 0.19) 25.13% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 38% (-0.267 -0.27)
Both teams to score 57.3% (-0.277 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (-0.36 -0.36)46.25% (0.359 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46% (-0.34 -0.34)68.54% (0.339 0.34)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)24.6% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)59.11% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)24% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.75% (-0.435 -0.43)58.25% (0.432 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 36.87%
    Cardiff MU 38%
    Draw 25.12%
Aberystwyth TownDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.28% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 36.87%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.089 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.12%
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 38%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Cardiff MU
2-1
Aberystwyth
Rees (9', 28')
Darlington (81')
Aug 20, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
0-4
Cardiff MU
Jones (8', 29', 34'), Evans (70')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff MU
1-1
Aberystwyth
McCarthy (48')
Price (8'), Evans (31'), Roscrow (79')
Jenkins (8')
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
0-2
Cardiff MU

Davies (32'), Franklin (81')
Lewis (72'), Evans (76')
McCarthy (82'), Chubb (86')
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Cardiff MU
0-1
Aberystwyth

Evans (64'), Clubb (90+5')
Owen (10')
Correia (32'), Owen (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints27220576284866
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont27166548272154
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest27139535191648
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU27125104137441
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon27125104444041
6Bala TownBala Town2771193434032
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry2711794246-440
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay271051239291035
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2793153754-1730
4Briton Ferry2774164257-1525
5Newtown AFCNewtown2767143052-2225
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2752202263-4117
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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