Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Aberystwyth0 - 1Cardiff MU
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Cardiff MU.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aberystwyth 3-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 22 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, April 22 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-0 Haverfordwest (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 6 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, May 6 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 38%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
36.87% ( 0.19) | 25.13% ( 0.08) | 38% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 57.3% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.75% ( -0.36) | 46.25% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.46% ( -0.34) | 68.54% ( 0.34) |
Aberystwyth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.39% ( -0.06) | 24.6% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.89% ( -0.09) | 59.11% ( 0.09) |
Cardiff MU Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76% ( -0.3) | 24% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.75% ( -0.43) | 58.25% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Aberystwyth Town 36.87%
Cardiff MU 38%
Draw 25.12%
Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 36.87% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.12% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 38% |
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Aug 20, 2022 5.45pm
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff MU
1-1
Aberystwyth
McCarthy (48')
Price (8'), Evans (31'), Roscrow (79')
Price (8'), Evans (31'), Roscrow (79')
Jenkins (8')
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
0-2
Cardiff MU
Davies (32'), Franklin (81')
Lewis (72'), Evans (76')
McCarthy (82'), Chubb (86')
McCarthy (82'), Chubb (86')
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 37 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 36 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 24 |
7 | Bala TownBala Town | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 14 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 11 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 10 |
> Welsh Premier League Full Table |
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