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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
6 - 2
Connah's Quay

Cieslewicz (13', 37'), McManus (45+3', 53'), Williams (55'), Smith (89')
Williams (33'), Davies (83'), Smith (86')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Edwards (2'), Davies (35')
Edwards (79'), Disney (83')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Swift Hesperange 3-2 New Saints
Tuesday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-2 KA
Thursday, July 20 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 75.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 9.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
75.73% (4.024 4.02) 14.81% (-1.615 -1.62) 9.46% (-2.403 -2.4)
Both teams to score 52.36% (-2.974 -2.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.15% (0.694 0.69)32.85% (-0.687 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.45% (0.793 0.79)54.56% (-0.785 -0.78)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.78% (1.001 1)7.22% (-0.9939 -0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.8% (2.555 2.55)26.2% (-2.547 -2.55)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.43% (-3.852 -3.85)43.57% (3.86 3.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.23% (-3.377 -3.38)79.77% (3.382 3.38)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 75.72%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 9.46%
    Draw 14.81%
The New SaintsDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-0 @ 10.86% (0.68 0.68)
3-0 @ 9.52% (1.032 1.03)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.381 -0.38)
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.115 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.91% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 6.25% (0.951 0.95)
4-1 @ 5.2% (0.299 0.3)
5-0 @ 3.29% (0.636 0.64)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.334 -0.33)
5-1 @ 2.73% (0.283 0.28)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
6-0 @ 1.44% (0.336 0.34)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.177 0.18)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 75.72%
1-1 @ 6.87% (-0.66 -0.66)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.594 -0.59)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.204 -0.2)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 14.81%
1-2 @ 2.85% (-0.623 -0.62)
0-1 @ 2.61% (-0.399 -0.4)
0-2 @ 1.09% (-0.305 -0.31)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.299 -0.3)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 9.46%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
New Saints
4-1
Connah's Quay
Daniels (34', 70'), McManus (58', 88')
Harrington (90+1')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Connah's Quay
0-0
New Saints
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Connah's Quay
1-1
New Saints
Horan (50')
Dafydd (90+5')
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
New Saints
2-1
Connah's Quay
McManus (42'), Routledge (80')
Davies (78'), Clark (86')
Wilde (39')
Stratulis (21'), Horan (81')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Connah's Quay
0-3
New Saints

Bradley (44')
Robles (56', 72'), Astles (70')
Davies (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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