Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2

Aug 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
4 - 0
Aberystwyth

Williams (23', 45+1'), Bratley (29'), Davies (38' pen.)
Bratley (61'), Franklin (90+4')
Bratley (69')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Yahaya (45+3'), Darlington (76'), Cornish (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

Welsh Premier League

Last Game: New Saints 6-2 Connah's Quay
Friday, August 11 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, August 12 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 19.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay Nomads	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
56.37% ( -0.47)	23.71% ( 0.2)	19.91% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 49.42% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.27% (

-0.47)

50.72% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.37% (

-0.42)

72.62% (

0.42)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.18% (

-0.34)

17.81% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.45% (

-0.6)

48.55% (

0.59)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.13% (

0.02)

39.87% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.47% (

0.02)

76.53% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 56.36%

Aberystwyth Town 19.91%

Draw 23.7%

Connah's Quay Nomads	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 56.36%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 23.7%	0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.32% Total : 19.91%