Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.44%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
