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[monks data]
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park
West Brom logo

Derby
1 - 0
West Brom

Kazim-Richards (58')
Davies (18'), Thompson (20'), Stearman (51'), Cashin (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Clarke (36')

Preview: Derby County vs. West Bromwich Albion - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Derby County and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Promotion-seeking West Bromwich Albion visit Pride Park on Monday for their meeting against Derby County in round 24 of the Championship.

The home side recently ended a three-game winless streak last time out, while the visitors are yet to taste defeat in any of their last five outings.


Match preview

West Bromwich Albion manager Valerien Ismael reacts on November 23, 2021© Reuters

West Brom were denied a third victory on the bounce following a goalless stalemate versus Barnsley two Fridays ago.

Despite enjoying the lion's share of the possession and territorial advantage, Valerien Ismael's men failed to find the breakthrough at Oakwell.

As a result, the Baggies have dropped to fourth place in the league standings, four points adrift of current leaders Fulham.

Monday's visitors will be looking to bounce back at a venue where they have not won on any of their last two trips since a 2-0 triumph in 2013.

However, they currently boast the division's best defensive record and will be confident of keeping their opponents at bay this time around.

Derby County manager Wayne Rooney pictured on November 24, 2021© Reuters

Derby County claimed a first victory in four matches by narrowly beating Blackpool 1-0 on December 11.

Luke Plange grabbed the only goal of the contest in the 51st minute to hand Wayne Rooney's men all three points.

The Rams remain rooted to the bottom of the league table, majorly due to a 21-point deduction earlier in the campaign.

Monday's hosts close out the year with a trip to Stoke City on Thursday, while their visitors entertain the challenge of Preston.

Derby County Championship form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W

West Bromwich Albion Championship form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

 West Bromwich Albion's Nathan Ferguson in action with Wigan Athletic's Cedric Kipre on December 11, 2019© Reuters

The defensive duo of Kean Bryan and Dara O'Shea remain sidelined with muscle injuries and will not feature for the away side.

Robert Snodgrass has missed West Brom's last six games through an ankle problem, while Kenneth Zohore is yet to feature since August due to a damaged knee.

Derby are set to be without Sam Baldock, Krystian Bielik, Lee Buchanan and Jack Stretton, who are all ruled out through injury.

Nineteen-year-old Plange had a home debut to remember last time out and heads into Monday's clash with the wind in his sails.

Derby County possible starting lineup:
Allsop; Jagielka, Davies, Forsyth; Jozwiak, Knight, Bird, Shinnie, Williams; Plange, Lawrence

West Bromwich Albion possible starting lineup:
Johnstone; Clarke, Bartley, Kipre; Townsend, Mowatt, Livermore, Furlong; Grant, Robinson, Hugill


SM words green background

We say: Derby County 1-2 West Bromwich Albion

Derby have proven to be a tough nut to crack on home turf so far and will fancy their chances of securing a positive result, albeit against more illustrious opponents, and while we expect them to put in a good shift, we are also backing West Brom to get the job done come the final whistle.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 52.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Derby vs West Brom

Derby County
15.3%
Draw
19.4%
West Bromwich Albion
65.3%
124
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