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West Brom logo
Championship | Gameweek 38
Jun 20, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Birmingham logo

West Brom
0 - 0
Birmingham


Edwards (75')
FT

Crowley (29'), Clarke-Salter (65'), Kieftenbeld (90+1')

Preview: West Bromwich Albion vs. Birmingham City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole provides team news, predicted lineups and a full preview of Saturday's Championship fixture between West Bromwich Albion and Birmingham City.

West Bromwich Albion head into Saturday's West Midlands derby with Birmingham City sitting one point adrift of Championship leaders Leeds United.

Meanwhile, Blues make the short trip to The Hawthorns having failed to win any of their last five matches at the second tier, leaving the club in 16th position in the standings.


Match preview

West Brom boss Slaven Bilic on February 1, 2020© Reuters

At one stage earlier this year, it appeared that West Brom would canter to promotion to the Premier League, especially with Leeds United enduring a slump which threatened to remove them from a top-two spot.

However, picking up just one point from games against Wigan Athletic and Swansea City, coupled with Leeds putting together an unforeseen resurgence, has left the Baggies in second place and looking over their shoulder.

Although there is still a six-point gap to third-placed Fulham, Slaven Bilic will be aware that his team must get back on track as soon as possible having also gone two games without troubling the scoresheet.

Brentford also lie in wait for West Brom on Tuesday night, placing more emphasis on the club to maintain their 10-point gap over the Bees ahead of their upcoming meeting at Griffin Park.

As far as Birmingham are concerned, Pep Clotet will only have consolidation on his mind after the club's five-game streak without a victory.

While four draws have come during that period, the 3-1 defeat at home to Reading last weekend has left Blues just eight points above the relegation zone.

Two victories from their remaining nine games should be enough to starve off the threat of a drop down to League One, but Clotet will not want to see their previous hard word undone by an uninspiring end to the campaign.

Despite Clotet's focus potentially being on crucial home fixtures against Hull City and Huddersfield Town over the next week, the Spaniard knows that avoiding defeat at their biggest rivals in the division will get the club's supporters back on side ahead of that double-header.

West Bromwich Albion Championship form: WDWWLD
West Bromwich Albion form (all competitions): DWWLLD

Birmingham City form: WDDDDL
Birmingham City (all competitions): DDDDLL


Team News

Birmingham City midfielder Jude Bellingham pictured in February 2020© Reuters

With West Brom having drawn a blank in their last two matches, changes are likely in attack, with Kamil Grosicki an option on the flank in place of Callum Robinson.

Bilic must also decide whether to hand a rest to Hal Robson-Kanu, who is likely to be the preferred option in attack against Brentford on Tuesday.

After witnessing his team's capitulation against Reading, Clotet will inevitably make alterations to his Birmingham starting lineup.

Jude Bellingham may be one of the players to drop to the substitutes' bench after a week which has seen him hold discussions with Manchester United.

Maikel Kieftenbeld is also in contention to feature in midfield, potentially at the expense of Ivan Sunjic.

Jake Clarke-Salter will hope for a recall to the centre of defence in place of Harlee Dean.

West Bromwich Albion possible starting lineup:
Johnstone; O'Shea, Ajayi, Bartley, Townsend; Sawyers, Livermore, Krovinovic; Pereira, Austin, Grosicki

Birmingham City possible starting lineup:
Camp; Colin, Roberts, Clarke-Salter, Pedersen; Crowley, Sunjic, Gardner, Mrabti; Jutkiewicz, Hogan


Sports Mole Logo

We say: West Bromwich Albion 3-1 Birmingham City

Although the Baggies have failed to win their last two Championship matches without scoring a goal, we feel that the promotion contenders will return to form against opposition who have lost the momentum they had generated at the start of the year.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 62.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 16.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.


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West Brom boss Slaven Bilic on February 15, 2020
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
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3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
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