Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Ladies win with a probability of 65.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 14.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Ladies win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 2-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton Ladies would win this match.