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Women's Super League | Gameweek 17
Apr 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
 

Leicester Women
2 - 1
Reading Women

Tierney (20'), Jones (90+6')
Mace (45+5'), Tierney (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wellings (45')
Woodham (41'), Bryson (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Leicester Women and Reading Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 5-0 Leicester Women
Sunday, March 26 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Leicester Women 1-1 Reading Women

Similar to the FA Cup tie between the two sides in January, which went to penalties, we expect Sunday's fixture to be a closely-fought contest, and with both teams struggling to pick up victories, we think that they may have to settle for a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading Women win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Leicester Women had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Leicester Women win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Leicester WomenDrawReading Women
32.29% (-0.271 -0.27) 23.39% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 44.32% (0.32 0.32)
Both teams to score 62.5% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.98% (0.122 0.12)39.02% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.66% (0.129 0.13)61.34% (-0.127 -0.13)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)23.8% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.03% (-0.142 -0.14)57.96% (0.143 0.14)
Reading Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.02% (0.17999999999999 0.18)17.98% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.17% (0.307 0.31)48.83% (-0.303 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Leicester Women 32.29%
    Reading Women 44.32%
    Draw 23.39%
Leicester WomenDrawReading Women
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.14% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 32.29%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 6.3% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.17% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.71% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.6% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.22% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.59% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 44.32%

Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Jan 9, 2022 2pm
rhs 2.0
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