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Women's Super League | Gameweek 14
Mar 5, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
 

Man Utd Women
5 - 1
Leicester Women

Russo (15', 36', 53'), Galton (64'), Garcia (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Siemsen (48')
Whelan (24'), Tierney (69'), Nevin (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester United Women and Leicester Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-2 Man Utd Women
Sunday, February 12 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 0-1 Leicester Women
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester United Women 2-0 Leicester Women

Although Leicester have undoubtedly improved in their recent WSL outings, we think that they will be unable to match the quality possessed by a Man United side that are unbeaten in seven league games, and as a result, we believe the hosts will claim all three points without much fuss on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 86.45%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 4.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 4-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.32%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-2 (1.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester United WomenDrawLeicester Women
86.45% (0.096000000000004 0.1) 9.24% (-0.104 -0.1) 4.31% (0.008 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.67% (0.704 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.31% (0.717 0.72)25.68% (-0.718 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.19% (0.921 0.92)45.81% (-0.921 -0.92)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.05% (0.13200000000001 0.13)3.95% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.28% (0.42500000000001 0.43)16.72% (-0.427 -0.43)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.55% (0.668 0.67)52.45% (-0.66699999999999 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.7% (0.429 0.43)86.3% (-0.428 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Women 86.44%
    Leicester Women 4.31%
    Draw 9.24%
Manchester United WomenDrawLeicester Women
3-0 @ 11.65% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 10.82% (-0.27 -0.27)
4-0 @ 9.41% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.52% (0.037 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.7% (-0.241 -0.24)
5-0 @ 6.08% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 6.07% (0.091 0.09)
5-1 @ 3.92% (0.098 0.1)
6-0 @ 3.28% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.06 0.06)
6-1 @ 2.11% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.067 0.07)
7-0 @ 1.51% (0.038 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.27% (0.056 0.06)
7-1 @ 0.98% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 86.44%
1-1 @ 4.32% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.25% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.07% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 9.24%
1-2 @ 1.39% (0.006 0.01)
0-1 @ 1.34% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 4.31%

How you voted: Man Utd Women vs Leicester Women

Manchester United Women
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Leicester Women
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 12pm
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Leicester Women
1-3
Man Utd Women
McManus (61')
Sigsworth (74'), Jane Flint (86')
Toone (36'), Thorisdottir (47'), Thomas (71')
Toone (58')
rhs 2.0
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