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Argentina national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 9, 2020 at 1.30am UK
 
Ecuador national football team

Argentina
1 - 0
Ecuador

Messi (13' pen.)
Paredes (21'), Otamendi (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Valencia (43')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - South America Group Stage clash between Argentina and Ecuador.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 15.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.84%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentina in this match.

Result
ArgentinaDrawEcuador
59.76%24.33%15.91%
Both teams to score 40.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.64%58.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.03%78.97%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58%19.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.76%51.24%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.74%49.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.86%84.14%
Score Analysis
    Argentina 59.75%
    Ecuador 15.91%
    Draw 24.33%
ArgentinaDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 15.67%
2-0 @ 12.84%
2-1 @ 9.1%
3-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 4.97%
4-0 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 2.04%
3-2 @ 1.76%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 59.75%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 9.56%
2-2 @ 3.22%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 6.77%
1-2 @ 3.93%
0-2 @ 2.4%
1-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 15.91%

Head to Head
Oct 13, 2019 3pm
International Friendlies
Argentina
6-1
Ecuador
Oct 11, 2017 12.30am
Group Stage
Ecuador
1-3
Argentina
Ibarra (1')
Messi (13', 20', 62')
Apr 1, 2015 1am
International Friendlies
Argentina
2-1
Ecuador
Aguero (8'), Pastore (58')
Bolanos (24')
Bolanos (28'), Ayoví (58')
Nov 16, 2013 1am
International Friendlies
Ecuador
0-0
Argentina
Ayovi (81'), Ayovi (85'), Gaibor (90')
Roncaglia (32')
rhs 2.0
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