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World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Botswana national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 1pm UK
Francistown Stadium
Guinea national football team

Botswana
1 - 0
Guinea

Seakanyeng (79')
Ngele (22'), Mohutsiwa (45+3'), Seakanyeng (80'), Velaphi (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diawara (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Botswana and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

Last Game: Botswana 2-3 Mozambique
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Guinea

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea 2-1 Uganda
Friday, November 17 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Botswana 1-2 Guinea

 With Guinea sitting 68 places above Botswana in FIFA's world rankings, there should only be one winner here, but Guinea made hard work of their victory against Uganda on home soil. As such, they are unlikely to run away with things against Botswana, but we expect the visitors to just about maintain their 100% record in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 44.94%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.7%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botswana in this match.

Result
BotswanaDrawGuinea
44.94% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2) 30.17% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 24.89% (0.138 0.14)
Both teams to score 38.29% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1)68% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.07% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)85.94% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46% (-0.158 -0.16)30.54% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (-0.188 -0.19)66.77% (0.19 0.19)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.14% (0.073 0.07)44.86% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.18% (0.056999999999999 0.06)80.82% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Botswana 44.94%
    Guinea 24.89%
    Draw 30.16%
BotswanaDrawGuinea
1-0 @ 16.25% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.64% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.73% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 44.94%
0-0 @ 13.7% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 30.16%
0-1 @ 10.98% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 24.89%

How you voted: Botswana vs Guinea

Botswana
35.9%
Draw
7.7%
Guinea
56.4%
39
rhs 2.0
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