World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 1pm UK
Francistown Stadium
Botswana1 - 0Guinea
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diawara (45+2')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botswana 2-3 Mozambique
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
We said: Botswana 1-2 Guinea
With Guinea sitting 68 places above Botswana in FIFA's world rankings, there should only be one winner here, but Guinea made hard work of their victory against Uganda on home soil. As such, they are unlikely to run away with things against Botswana, but we expect the visitors to just about maintain their 100% record in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 44.94%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.7%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botswana in this match.
| Result | ||
| Botswana | Draw | Guinea |
44.94% ( -0.2) | 30.17% ( 0.06) | 24.89% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 38.29% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
