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Guinea national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade de Marrakech
Egypt national football team

Guinea
1 - 2
Egypt

Guirassy (26')
Kamano (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Trezeguet (42'), Mohamed (79')
Ramadan (68'), Trezeguet (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Guinea and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ethiopia 2-3 Guinea
Monday, March 27 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Malawi 0-4 Egypt
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Guinea 1-2 Egypt

While Guinea have named a strong squad, we expect them to struggle against an Egypt side that should have too much quality to handle. We predict a cagey affair at the Stade de Marrakech, with the Pharaohs claiming a close victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Egypt had a probability of 17.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.71%), while for a Egypt win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Egypt in this match.

Result
GuineaDrawEgypt
54.31% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 28.24% (0.0040000000000013 0) 17.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 34.8% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.98% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)68.02% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.05% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)85.95% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.16% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.84% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)60.8% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.93% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)53.07% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)86.69% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Guinea 54.29%
    Egypt 17.45%
    Draw 28.23%
GuineaDrawEgypt
1-0 @ 18.55%
2-0 @ 12.55%
2-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 54.29%
0-0 @ 13.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-1 @ 11.75%
2-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 17.45%

How you voted: Guinea vs Egypt

Guinea
15.1%
Draw
15.1%
Egypt
69.8%
86
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Egypt
1-0
Guinea
Mohamed (87')
Fathi (78')

Diawara (29'), Camara (55')
Jun 16, 2019 5pm
International Friendlies
Egypt
3-1
Guinea
Mohsen (11'), Ali (77'), Gaber (86')
Ashraf (79')
Kaba (63')
Sylla (29'), Seka (59'), Diawara (87')
rhs 2.0
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