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Bolivia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 12, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Argentina national football team

Bolivia
0 - 3
Argentina


Fernandez (15'), Villamil (24'), Quinteros (69'), Algaranaz (86')
Fernandez (39')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Fernandez (31'), Tagliafico (42'), Gonzalez (83')

The Match

Match Report

Argentina begin their World Cup qualifying campaign with consecutive victories after beating Bolivia 3-0 despite being without the services of Lionel Messi.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Bolivia and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Argentina could line up for Tuesday's World Cup qualifying clash against Bolivia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Brazil 5-1 Bolivia
Saturday, September 9 at 1.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Ecuador
Friday, September 8 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 13.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.63%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Argentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentina.

Result
BoliviaDrawArgentina
13.64% (-0.114 -0.11) 20.67% (0.126 0.13) 65.69% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.83% (-0.691 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.29% (-0.768 -0.77)48.71% (0.767 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.18% (-0.702 -0.7)70.82% (0.70099999999999 0.7)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.3% (-0.648 -0.65)46.7% (0.647 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.74% (-0.499 -0.5)82.26% (0.497 0.5)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (-0.24799999999999 -0.25)14.01% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.45% (-0.487 -0.49)41.55% (0.485 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Bolivia 13.64%
    Argentina 65.69%
    Draw 20.67%
BoliviaDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 4.98% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 3.73% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 1.9% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 0.95% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 0.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 13.64%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.044 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.204 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 20.67%
0-1 @ 12.86% (0.29 0.29)
0-2 @ 12.63% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.62% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-3 @ 8.28% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-4 @ 4.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-5 @ 1.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.22% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 65.69%

How you voted: Bolivia vs Argentina

Bolivia
14.0%
Draw
9.3%
Argentina
76.6%
107
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2021 12.30am
Jun 29, 2021 1am
Oct 13, 2020 9pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
1-2
Argentina
Moreno (24')
Valverde (38'), Maria Carrasco (59'), Torres (90+4')
Martinez (45'), Correa (79')
Tagliafico (16'), Dominguez (90'), Alejandro Palacios (90+1')
Mar 28, 2017 9pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
2-0
Argentina
Arce (31'), Moreno (52')
Jun 7, 2015 12am
International Friendlies
Argentina
5-0
Bolivia
Di Maria (25', 55' pen.), Aguero (29' pen., 31', 51')
Otamendi (48')

Gamarra (28'), Hurtado (53')
rhs 2.0
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