International Friendly

Jun 11, 2022 at 12pm UK

Melbourne Cricket Ground

Brazil
P-P
Argentina

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Brazil and Argentina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

Last Six:

Last Game: Japan 0-1 Brazil
Monday, June 6 at 11.20am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Brazil vs. Argentina
Thursday, September 22 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Argentina

Last Six:

Last Game: Argentina 5-0 Estonia
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Brazil vs. Argentina
Thursday, September 22 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Argentina had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Argentina win was 0-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%).

Result
Brazil	Draw	Argentina
51.97% ( 0.02)	23.65% ( -0.03)	24.38% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.5% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.45% (

0.13)

45.54% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.13% (

0.12)

67.87% (

-0.12)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.47% (

0.05)

17.53% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.95% (

0.09)

48.05% (

-0.09)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.3% (

0.08)

32.7% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.75% (

0.09)

69.25% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Brazil 51.97%

Argentina 24.38%

Draw 23.64%

Brazil	Draw	Argentina
1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.73% Total : 51.97%	1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.64%	0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.38%