World Cup

World Cup | Group Stage

Nov 24, 2022 at 7pm UK

Brazil
2 - 0
Serbia

Richarlison (62', 73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pavlovic (7'), Gudelj (49'), Lukic (64')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions

Last Game: Brazil 5-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Switzerland	0	0	0
4	Cameroon	0	0	0

Serbia

All competitions

Last Game: Bahrain 1-5 Serbia
Friday, November 18 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Switzerland	0	0	0
4	Cameroon	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
Brazil	Draw	Serbia
50.68% ( -1.14)	25.69% ( 0.05)	23.62% ( 1.09)

Both teams to score 48.4% (

1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.47% (

0.75)

54.53% (

-0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.12% (

0.62)

75.88% (

-0.62)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.45% (

-0.18)

21.55% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.38% (

-0.28)

54.62% (

0.27)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.69% (

1.46)

38.31% (

-1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.93% (

1.37)

75.07% (

-1.37)

Score Analysis

Brazil 50.68%

Serbia 23.62%

Draw 25.68%

Brazil	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 12.67% ( -0.44) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.68%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.56% Total : 23.62%