MX23RW : Thursday, November 28 11:53:45| >> :600:92817:92817:
Central African Republic national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Municipal
Chad national football team

CAR
1 - 0
Chad

Baboula (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Central African Republic and Chad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: CAR 4-0 P. New Guinea
Monday, March 25 at 9.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mauritius 1-2 Chad
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Central African Republic 1-0 Chad

The sides have found a little form of late and will both fancy their chances of coming away with maximum points here. That said, we just about fancy the hosts to carry the day at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 95.96%. A draw had a probability of 3.2% and a win for Chad had a probability of 0.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 4-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.76%) and 5-0 (11.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.5%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (0.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Central African Republic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Central African Republic.

Result
Central African RepublicDrawChad
95.96% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 3.15% (-0.018 -0.02) 0.88% (-0.007 -0.01)
Both teams to score 32.82% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
85.44% (0.054000000000002 0.05)14.56% (-0.06 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
70.09% (0.090000000000003 0.09)29.91% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Central African Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.72% (0.0039999999999907 0)1.27% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
93.17% (0.032000000000011 0.03)6.83% (-0.0369 -0.04)
Chad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.24% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)66.76% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.26% (-0.0139 -0.01)93.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Central African Republic 95.94%
    Chad 0.88%
    Draw 3.15%
Central African RepublicDrawChad
4-0 @ 12.84%
3-0 @ 11.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
6-0 @ 8.15% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.09% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
7-0 @ 5.08% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 4.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 3.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
6-1 @ 3.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
8-0 @ 2.77% (0.016 0.02)
7-1 @ 2.05% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
9-0 @ 1.34% (0.01 0.01)
8-1 @ 1.12% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 95.94%
1-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 3.15%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 0.88%

How you voted: CAR vs Chad

Central African Republic
81.5%
Draw
14.8%
Chad
3.7%
27
rhs 2.0
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