Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 95.96%. A draw had a probability of 3.2% and a win for Chad had a probability of 0.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 4-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.76%) and 5-0 (11.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.5%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (0.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Central African Republic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Central African Republic.