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Indonesia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 10, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno
Australia national football team

Indonesia
0 - 0
Australia


Hubner (57')
FT

Goodwin (10'), Baccus (44'), Silvera (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Indonesia and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-1 Indonesia
Thursday, September 5 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Australia 0-1 Bahrain
Thursday, September 5 at 11.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Indonesia 0-3 Australia

While Indonesia did well to earn a draw against Saudi Arabia, their home form is quite concerning. Additionally, Australia will be hoping to prove that their loss against Bahrain was a one-off result by securing all three points in Tuesday's clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Indonesia win it was 1-0 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
IndonesiaDrawAustralia
17.24% (-6.82 -6.82) 20.99% (-3.791 -3.79) 61.76% (10.611 10.61)
Both teams to score 53.23% (1.686 1.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77% (7.396 7.4)43.22% (-7.399 -7.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37% (6.91 6.91)65.62% (-6.912 -6.91)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.51% (-2.748 -2.75)38.49% (2.746 2.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.76% (-2.724 -2.72)75.24% (2.722 2.72)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53% (6.322 6.32)13.46% (-6.324 -6.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.53% (11.382 11.38)40.46% (-11.384 -11.38)
Score Analysis
    Indonesia 17.24%
    Australia 61.75%
    Draw 20.99%
IndonesiaDrawAustralia
1-0 @ 4.95% (-2.328 -2.33)
2-1 @ 4.74% (-1.327 -1.33)
2-0 @ 2.36% (-1.381 -1.38)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 1.51% (-0.572 -0.57)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 17.24%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-1.859 -1.86)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-1.89 -1.89)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.99%
0-2 @ 10.41% (1.128 1.13)
0-1 @ 10.39% (-1.06 -1.06)
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.397 0.4)
0-3 @ 6.96% (1.95 1.95)
1-3 @ 6.65% (1.491 1.49)
0-4 @ 3.49% (1.46 1.46)
1-4 @ 3.33% (1.244 1.24)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.521 0.52)
2-4 @ 1.59% (0.516 0.52)
0-5 @ 1.4% (0.742 0.74)
1-5 @ 1.34% (0.66 0.66)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 61.75%

How you voted: Indonesia vs Australia

Indonesia
46.9%
Draw
14.2%
Australia
38.9%
162
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 11.30am
Round of 16
Australia
4-0
Indonesia
Baggott (12' og.), Boyle (45'), Goodwin (89'), Souttar (90+1')
Fornaroli (15'), Jones (65')

Mangkualam (35'), Walsh (68'), Amat (90'), Struick (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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