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Japan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 15, 2024 at 11.35am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002
Australia national football team

Japan
vs.
Australia

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Third Round clash between Japan and Australia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bahrain 0-5 Japan
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Japan
Thursday, October 10 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
Last Game: Indonesia 0-0 Australia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Australia vs. China
Thursday, October 10 at 10.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 56.95%. A win for Australia has a probability of 21.65% and a draw has a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Australia win is 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.76%).

Result
JapanDrawAustralia
56.95%21.4%21.65%
Both teams to score 59.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.61%38.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.32%60.67%
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.65%13.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.77%40.23%
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87%31.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55%67.45%
Score Analysis
    Japan 56.95%
    Australia 21.65%
    Draw 21.4%
JapanDrawAustralia
2-1 @ 9.83%
2-0 @ 8.42%
1-0 @ 8.37%
3-1 @ 6.6%
3-0 @ 5.65%
3-2 @ 3.85%
4-1 @ 3.32%
4-0 @ 2.85%
4-2 @ 1.94%
5-1 @ 1.34%
5-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 56.95%
1-1 @ 9.76%
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 4.15%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.4%
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-1 @ 4.85%
0-2 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 21.65%

Head to Head
Mar 24, 2022 9.10am
Third Round
Australia
0-2
Japan

Metcalfe (15'), Stensness (55')
Mitoma (89', 90+4')
Nagatomo (10')
Oct 12, 2021 11.14am
Third Round
Japan
2-1
Australia
Tanaka (8'), Behich (85' og.)
Morita (68')
Hrustic (70')
Behich (63'), Souttar (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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