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Bahrain national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 14, 2024 at 12am UK
 
China national football team

Bahrain
vs.
China

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Bahrain and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Bahrain
Tuesday, October 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
Last Game: China 2-1 Indonesia
Tuesday, October 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We say: Bahrain 1-0 China

Recording standout results against Australia and Saudi Arabia so far in Group C, Bahrain will be confident of putting basement dwellers China to the sword on Thursday night. The Dragon Team enjoyed a morale-boosting success on home soil last time out, but we cannot envisage them earning a rare away result in Riffa. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bahrain win with a probability of 62.65%. A draw has a probability of 22% and a win for China has a probability of 15.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.4%), while for a China win it is 0-1 (5.61%).

Result
BahrainDrawChina
62.65% (2.206 2.21) 21.99% (-0.535 -0.54) 15.36% (-1.677 -1.68)
Both teams to score 46.04% (-1.902 -1.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.26% (-0.668 -0.67)50.74% (0.662 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36% (-0.592 -0.59)72.63% (0.586 0.59)
Bahrain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36% (0.505 0.5)15.64% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.34% (0.935 0.94)44.66% (-0.941 -0.94)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.57% (-2.6 -2.6)45.43% (2.594 2.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.73% (-2.129 -2.13)81.27% (2.122 2.12)
Score Analysis
    Bahrain 62.64%
    China 15.36%
    Draw 21.99%
BahrainDrawChina
1-0 @ 13.18% (0.57 0.57)
2-0 @ 12.22% (0.73 0.73)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 7.56% (0.575 0.58)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.51% (0.322 0.32)
4-1 @ 2.77% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.158 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.14 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 62.64%
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.187 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.326 -0.33)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.99%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.259 -0.26)
1-2 @ 4.1% (-0.43 -0.43)
0-2 @ 2.21% (-0.275 -0.28)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 15.36%

Who will win Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Bahrain and China?

Bahrain
Draw
China
Bahrain
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
China
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2018 5pm
International Friendlies
Bahrain
0-0
China
Al Aswad (84')
Xi (49'), Hai (85')
rhs 2.0
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