World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 11, 2024 at 12pm UK

Seoul World Cup Stadium

South Korea
1 - 0
China

Kang-in (61')
Woo-young (31')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wenneng (45+2'), Xu (54'), Hao (80'), Yang (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between South Korea and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Singapore 0-7 South Korea
Thursday, June 6 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bahrain	3	0	6
2	South Korea	3	2	5
3	Jordan	3	3	4
4	Malaysia	3	-5	1

China

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: China 1-1 Thailand
Thursday, June 6 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

We said: South Korea 2-1 China

China have been competitive in the AFC World Cup qualifiers but they have a poor record against South Korea. However, the visitors could prove difficult opponents if they play defensively in order to preserve their three-goal advantage over group rivals Thailand. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for China had a probability of 13.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
South Korea	Draw	China
66.96% ( -0.17)	19.6% ( -0)	13.44% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 48.67% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.4% (

0.41)

44.6% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.03% (

0.39)

66.97% (

-0.39)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.62% (

0.07)

12.38% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.75% (

0.15)

38.25% (

-0.15)

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.55% (

0.52)

44.45% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.51% (

0.42)

80.49% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

South Korea 66.94%

China 13.44%

Draw 19.6%

South Korea	Draw	China
2-0 @ 12% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 66.94%	1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.83% Total : 19.6%	0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.3% Total : 13.44%