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World Cup
China national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 10, 2024 at 1pm UK
Beijing National Stadium
Saudi Arabia national football team

China
1 - 2
Saudi Arabia

Alawjami (14' og.)
Yuanyi (9'), Baihelamu (36'), Wenneng (45+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kadesh (39', 90')
Alawjami (6'), Al-Malki (45'), Abdul Hamid (59')
Kanoo (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Japan 7-0 China
Thursday, September 5 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-1 Indonesia
Thursday, September 5 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: China 0-1 Saudi Arabia

 This is a tough match to call, as there should be a strong response from China after what happened last time out. Saudi Arabia were also disappointing in their last match, but we are expecting Mancini's side to navigate their way to an important three points on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for China had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a China win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
ChinaDrawSaudi Arabia
19.69% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 23.02% (0.168 0.17) 57.28% (-0.209 -0.21)
Both teams to score 51.18% (-0.484 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.79% (-0.67 -0.67)48.2% (0.664 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.64% (-0.617 -0.62)70.36% (0.61200000000001 0.61)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.35% (-0.354 -0.35)38.65% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.6% (-0.337 -0.34)75.39% (0.331 0.33)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.42% (-0.31099999999999 -0.31)16.58% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.62% (-0.557 -0.56)46.37% (0.551 0.55)
Score Analysis
    China 19.69%
    Saudi Arabia 57.27%
    Draw 23.01%
ChinaDrawSaudi Arabia
1-0 @ 6.09% (0.109 0.11)
2-1 @ 5.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.9% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.65% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 19.69%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.175 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.01%
0-1 @ 11.51% (0.2 0.2)
0-2 @ 10.34% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.2% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.78% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.65% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 57.27%

How you voted: China vs Saudi Arabia

China
28.9%
Draw
13.3%
Saudi Arabia
57.8%
83
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2022 3pm
Third Round
China
1-1
Saudi Arabia
Zhu (82' pen.)
Junmin (24'), Zhu (39'), Dabao (90+1')
Al-Shehri (45+1')
Al Amri (60')
> Preview
Oct 12, 2021 6pm
Third Round
Saudi Arabia
3-2
China
Al Naji (15', 38'), Albirakan (72')
Al-Malki (87')
Guofu (46'), Xi (87')
Li (87')
> Preview
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