World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Feb 3, 2022 at 12am UK
Independence Park
Jamaica0 - 1Costa Rica
We said: Jamaica 1-2 Costa Rica
Jamaica will enter the contest in low spirits after suffering consecutive qualifying defeats, and with Costa Rica unbeaten in their last three internationals, they head into the encounter in a buoyant mood and with qualification still a realistic possibility, we think that Los Ticos will have that extra motivation to claim the three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 40.64%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 29.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | Costa Rica |
| 40.64% | 30.27% | 29.08% |
| Both teams to score 40.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
