World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Jan 30, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Azteca
Mexico0 - 0Costa Rica
We said: Mexico 1-0 Costa Rica
The Mexicans have been shaky and unconvincing, to say the least, but they still know how to get through those tough stretches, and they should be able to push numbers forward and eventually find a breakthrough against a Costa Rican side, who have rarely created much quality to worry other teams in the Octagon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 13.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.53%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.04%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Costa Rica |
| 59.76% | 26.81% | 13.43% |
| Both teams to score 31.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
