World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Nov 17, 2021 at 1.05am UK
Costa Rica2 - 1Honduras
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | Honduras |
| 40.24% | 27.66% | 32.1% |
| Both teams to score 48.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
