Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 8.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.64%) and 3-0 (11.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.
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