MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 16:22:44| >> :600:267346:267346:
Mali national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Ghana national football team

Mali
1 - 2
Ghana

Doumbia (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nuamah (58'), Ayew (90+4')
Owusu (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mali and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Mali 2-0 Nigeria
Tuesday, March 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uganda 2-2 Ghana
Tuesday, March 26 at 4pm in International Friendlies

We said: Mali 2-1 Ghana

Mali have made major strides forward in recent years and are now up to 44th in the world, according to FIFA Rankings, which is higher than the likes of Norway and Greece, and just one behind African powerhouse Algeria. There is genuine belief among Eagles' fans that this tournament will lead them to their first-ever World Cup appearance, and we feel they will continue their upward trajectory with a victory against the Black Stars on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 20.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
MaliDrawGhana
54.91% (1.22 1.22) 24.45% (-0.364 -0.36) 20.63% (-0.861 -0.86)
Both teams to score 48.28% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.21% (0.447 0.45)52.78% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.58% (0.38 0.38)74.41% (-0.387 -0.39)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.86% (0.649 0.65)19.13% (-0.654 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.22% (1.065 1.07)50.78% (-1.071 -1.07)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.7% (-0.637 -0.64)40.29% (0.632 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.08% (-0.583 -0.58)76.92% (0.578 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Mali 54.91%
    Ghana 20.63%
    Draw 24.44%
MaliDrawGhana
1-0 @ 12.75% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.54% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.81% (0.249 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.138 0.14)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.149 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.18% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 54.91%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.44%
0-1 @ 7.01% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 20.63%

How you voted: Mali vs Ghana

Mali
54.1%
Draw
13.1%
Ghana
32.8%
61
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2020 6pm
Friendlies 1
Mali
3-0
Ghana
Traore (3'), Bilal Toure (49'), Haidara (75')

Lomotey (57')
Jan 21, 2017 4pm
Group Stage
Ghana
1-0
Mali
Gyan (22')
Gyan (82')
Feb 9, 2013 6pm
Jan 24, 2013 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton121110924-154


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!