MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 21:58:23| >> :120:39040:39040:
Mali national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Ghana national football team

Mali
1 - 2
Ghana

Doumbia (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nuamah (58'), Ayew (90+4')
Owusu (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mali and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Mali 2-0 Nigeria
Tuesday, March 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uganda 2-2 Ghana
Tuesday, March 26 at 4pm in International Friendlies

We said: Mali 2-1 Ghana

Mali have made major strides forward in recent years and are now up to 44th in the world, according to FIFA Rankings, which is higher than the likes of Norway and Greece, and just one behind African powerhouse Algeria. There is genuine belief among Eagles' fans that this tournament will lead them to their first-ever World Cup appearance, and we feel they will continue their upward trajectory with a victory against the Black Stars on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 20.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
MaliDrawGhana
54.91% (1.22 1.22) 24.45% (-0.364 -0.36) 20.63% (-0.861 -0.86)
Both teams to score 48.28% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.21% (0.447 0.45)52.78% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.58% (0.38 0.38)74.41% (-0.387 -0.39)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.86% (0.649 0.65)19.13% (-0.654 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.22% (1.065 1.07)50.78% (-1.071 -1.07)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.7% (-0.637 -0.64)40.29% (0.632 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.08% (-0.583 -0.58)76.92% (0.578 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Mali 54.91%
    Ghana 20.63%
    Draw 24.44%
MaliDrawGhana
1-0 @ 12.75% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.54% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.81% (0.249 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.138 0.14)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.149 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.18% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 54.91%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.44%
0-1 @ 7.01% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 20.63%

How you voted: Mali vs Ghana

Mali
54.1%
Draw
13.1%
Ghana
32.8%
61
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2020 6pm
Friendlies 1
Mali
3-0
Ghana
Traore (3'), Bilal Toure (49'), Haidara (75')

Lomotey (57')
Jan 21, 2017 4pm
Group Stage
Ghana
1-0
Mali
Gyan (22')
Gyan (82')
Feb 9, 2013 6pm
Jan 24, 2013 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Rams
18-24
Bears
FT
Eagles
16-33
Buccaneers
FT
Steelers
24-27
Colts
FT
Saints
24-26
Falcons
FT
Broncos
10-9
Jets
FT
Vikings
31-29
Packers
FT
Bengals
34-24
Panthers
FT
Jags
20-24
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Brentford6213810-27
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton501429-71
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!