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World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Philippines national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Rizal Memorial Stadium
Iraq national football team

Philippines
0 - 5
Iraq


Curran (10'), Baas (52')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Hussein (14' pen., 36'), Al-Ammari (30'), Iqbal (62'), Tahseen (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Philippines and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philippines

Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Philippines
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Iraq

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Philippines
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Philippines 0-2 Iraq

 While Philippines will be desperate to get their qualifying campaign on track, they face the stern challenge of taking on a significantly superior and more experienced Iraq side. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two nations, we are tipping Garcia's men to come away with a comfortable victory on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Philippines had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Philippines win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.

Result
PhilippinesDrawIraq
30.63% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 27.65% (0.00099999999999767 0) 41.72% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)57.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.47% (-0.004999999999999 -0)78.53% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Philippines Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)34.3% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)71% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)62.75% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Philippines 30.63%
    Iraq 41.71%
    Draw 27.64%
PhilippinesDrawIraq
1-0 @ 10.02%
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 30.63%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 9.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 12.15%
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.89% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.96%
1-4 @ 1.19%
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 41.71%

How you voted: Philippines vs Iraq

Philippines
21.1%
Draw
26.3%
Iraq
52.6%
19
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2024 7pm
Second Round
Iraq
1-0
Philippines
Ali (84')
Casas (69')

Kekkonen (68'), Ott (90+2')
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