World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 6, 2024 at 10am UK
Stadion Wibawa Mukti
Indonesia0 - 2Iraq
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Indonesia and Iraq.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Indonesia 0-0 Tanzania
Sunday, June 2 at 10am in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 2 at 10am in International Friendlies
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Indonesia win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Iraq |
21.7% ( 2.59) | 25.5% ( 1.15) | 52.8% ( -3.73) |
| Both teams to score 46.74% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
