Iraq1 - 0Philippines
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, January 29 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Tuesday, November 21 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
We said: Iraq 2-0 Philippines
Philippines are in for a tough 90 minutes against a rampant Iraq side who will be looking to restore some pride following their disappointing Asian Cup run. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing Iraq to claim a comfortable victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Philippines had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Philippines win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iraq in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iraq.
Result | ||
Iraq | Draw | Philippines |
59.71% ( -0.01) | 22.68% ( -0.03) | 17.61% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.57% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.2% ( 0.19) | 49.8% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.19% ( 0.17) | 71.8% ( -0.17) |
Iraq Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.69% ( 0.07) | 16.3% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.12% ( 0.12) | 45.88% ( -0.12) |
Philippines Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.03% ( 0.16) | 41.97% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.59% ( 0.14) | 78.4% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Iraq | Draw | Philippines |
1-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 59.71% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.68% | 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 17.61% |
How you voted: Iraq vs Philippines
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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