World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 21, 2024 at 7pm UK

Mubarak International Stadium

Iraq
1 - 0
Philippines

Ali (84')
Casas (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kekkonen (68'), Ott (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iraq and Philippines, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Iraq 2-3 Jordan
Monday, January 29 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iraq	3	4	9
2	Japan	3	3	6
3	Indonesia	3	-3	3
4	Vietnam	3	-4	0

Philippines

Last Game: Philippines 1-1 Indonesia
Tuesday, November 21 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Philippines are in for a tough 90 minutes against a rampant Iraq side who will be looking to restore some pride following their disappointing Asian Cup run. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing Iraq to claim a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Philippines had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Philippines win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iraq in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iraq.

Result
Iraq	Draw	Philippines
59.71% ( -0.01)	22.68% ( -0.03)	17.61% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48.57% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.2% (

0.19)

49.8% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.19% (

0.17)

71.8% (

-0.17)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.69% (

0.07)

16.3% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.12% (

0.12)

45.88% (

-0.12)

Philippines Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.03% (

0.16)

41.97% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.59% (

0.14)

78.4% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Iraq 59.71%

Philippines 17.61%

Draw 22.68%

Iraq	Draw	Philippines
1-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 59.71%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.68%	0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 17.61%