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World Cup
Saudi Arabia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Bahrain national football team

Saudi Arabia
vs.
Bahrain

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-2 Japan
Thursday, October 10 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Australia vs. Saudi Arabia
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Bahrain

All competitions
Last Game: Bahrain 2-2 Indonesia
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Bahrain vs. China
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Saudi Arabia 3-1 Bahrain

 While Bahrain have picked up two positive results in their three outings, including a phenomenal 1-0 win against Australia, we believe Saudi Arabia boast more talent throughout their squad, suggesting a win for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Bahrain has a probability of 27.85% and a draw has a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Bahrain win is 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.48%).

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawBahrain
45.86% (0.879 0.88) 26.28% (-2.283 -2.28) 27.85% (1.404 1.4)
Both teams to score 50.29% (7.191 7.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.14% (8.729 8.73)53.86% (-8.728 -8.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.68% (6.849 6.85)75.32% (-6.847 -6.85)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (4.401 4.4)23.43% (-4.399 -4.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.56% (5.994 5.99)57.43% (-5.993 -5.99)
Bahrain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68% (5.961 5.96)34.32% (-5.96 -5.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.98% (5.885 5.89)71.02% (-5.885 -5.89)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 45.85%
    Bahrain 27.85%
    Draw 26.29%
Saudi ArabiaDrawBahrain
1-0 @ 11.66% (-2.67 -2.67)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.716 0.72)
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.703 -0.7)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.824 0.82)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.726 0.73)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.452 0.45)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.235 0.24)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.85%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.55 -0.55)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-3.168 -3.17)
2-2 @ 4.84% (1.051 1.05)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 8.6% (-1.59 -1.59)
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.745 0.75)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.582 0.58)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.577 0.58)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.234 0.23)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 27.85%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Bahrain

Saudi Arabia
82.0%
Draw
11.5%
Bahrain
6.6%
61
rhs 2.0
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