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World Cup
Saudi Arabia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 5, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Indonesia national football team

Saudi Arabia
1 - 1
Indonesia

Al-Juwayr (45+3')
Al-Ghanam (85'), Kanoo (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Oratmangoen (19')
Verdonk (23'), Ferarri (83'), Paes (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Indonesia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Jordan
Tuesday, June 11 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Indonesia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Indonesia 2-0 Philippines
Tuesday, June 11 at 1.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Saudi Arabia 4-0 Indonesia

 Saudi Arabia are heavy favourites to come out on top against the lowest-ranked nation left in qualifying, and manager Mancini needs to start with three points. Brunei, Vietnam and the Philippines are the only sides Indonesia have beaten across the last 12 months, as Shin Tae-yong's side have won just four of their last 14 outings, and they could be seriously outclassed in this section Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Indonesia win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawIndonesia
59.26% (1.834 1.83) 22.35% (-0.43 -0.43) 18.4% (-1.403 -1.4)
Both teams to score 51.06% (-1.04 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)47.23% (0.175 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54% (-0.162 -0.16)69.46% (0.163 0.16)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.43% (0.559 0.56)15.57% (-0.559 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.47% (1.03 1.03)44.53% (-1.028 -1.03)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.48% (-1.643 -1.64)39.52% (1.644 1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.79% (-1.561 -1.56)76.21% (1.561 1.56)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 59.25%
    Indonesia 18.4%
    Draw 22.34%
Saudi ArabiaDrawIndonesia
1-0 @ 11.44% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 10.64% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.413 0.41)
3-1 @ 6.13% (0.121 0.12)
4-0 @ 3.07% (0.246 0.25)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.112 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 59.25%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.34%
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.321 -0.32)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.4%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Indonesia

Saudi Arabia
81.8%
Draw
6.8%
Indonesia
11.4%
44
rhs 2.0
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