World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 6, 2024 at 1.10pm UK

Thuwanna YTC Stadium

Myanmar
0 - 5
Japan

Aung Wai (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Nakamura (17', 90+3'), Doan (34'), Ogawa (75', 83')
Maeda (80')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Myanmar and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Myanmar

Last Game: Syria 7-0 Myanmar
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Japan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Japan 1-0 North Korea
Thursday, March 21 at 10.23am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iraq	3	4	9
2	Japan	3	3	6
3	Indonesia	3	-3	3
4	Vietnam	3	-4	0

Despite having home advantage on their side, Myanmar will struggle to compete with a team of Japan's quality, and we think that the hosts could experience a similar result to the 5-0 defeat that they suffered in November's reverse fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 85.59%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Myanmar had a probability of 4.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 0-4 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.53%), while for a Myanmar win it was 2-1 (1.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
Myanmar	Draw	Japan
4.69% ( 0.67)	9.71% ( 0.67)	85.59% ( -1.33)

Both teams to score 46.65% (

2.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.85% (

0.21)

26.15% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.59% (

0.27)

46.41% (

-0.27)

Myanmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.68% (

2.95)

51.32% (

-2.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.44% (

1.89)

85.56% (

-1.88)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.84% (

-0.17)

4.16% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.61% (

-0.55)

17.39% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Myanmar 4.69%

Japan 85.59%

Draw 9.71%

Myanmar	Draw	Japan
2-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.76% Total : 4.69%	1-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.65% Total : 9.71%	0-3 @ 11.44% ( -0.62) 0-2 @ 10.79% ( -0.44) 0-4 @ 9.09% ( -0.63) 1-3 @ 7.63% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.34) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 6.07% ( 0.13) 0-5 @ 5.78% ( -0.48) 1-5 @ 3.86% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 3.06% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.29) 1-6 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.21) 0-7 @ 1.39% ( -0.16) 2-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.12) 1-7 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.66% Total : 85.59%