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North Korea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 19, 2024 at 12am UK
 
Uzbekistan national football team

North Korea
vs.
Uzbekistan

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between North Korea and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

North Korea

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: North Korea 2-3 Iran
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Qatar vs. North Korea
Thursday, March 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Uzbekistan

All competitions
Last Game: Qatar 3-2 Uzbekistan
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Uzbekistan vs. Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, March 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We say: North Korea 0-2 Uzbekistan

 North Korea are in poor form and have struggled for wins of late, and considering Uzbekistan are in strong form themselves, the visitors should be favourites heading into Tuesday's clash. Additionally, the away side have proven their ability to keep clean sheets during the group stage, and they could prevent their opponents from scoring. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 64.75%. A draw has a probability of 20.8% and a win for North Korea has a probability of 14.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.06%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.87%), while for a North Korea win it is 1-0 (4.99%).

Result
North KoreaDrawUzbekistan
14.5% (-0.242 -0.24) 20.76% (1.736 1.74) 64.75% (-1.49 -1.49)
Both teams to score 47.74% (-6.471 -6.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66% (-8.266 -8.27)47.34% (8.27 8.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.44% (-8.161 -8.16)69.56% (8.167 8.17)
North Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.42% (-5.468 -5.47)44.58% (5.473 5.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.41% (-4.764 -4.76)80.6% (4.769 4.77)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.14% (-2.891 -2.89)13.87% (2.897 2.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.74% (-6.045 -6.05)41.26% (6.05 6.05)
Score Analysis
    North Korea 14.5%
    Uzbekistan 64.74%
    Draw 20.76%
North KoreaDrawUzbekistan
1-0 @ 4.99% (0.966 0.97)
2-1 @ 3.99% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-0 @ 2.02% (0.127 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.07% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-2 @ 1.06% (-0.385 -0.39)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 14.5%
1-1 @ 9.87% (0.966 0.97)
0-0 @ 6.18% (1.892 1.89)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.68 -0.68)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.76%
0-1 @ 12.21% (2.728 2.73)
0-2 @ 12.06% (1.59 1.59)
1-2 @ 9.75% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 7.95% (0.227 0.23)
1-3 @ 6.42% (-0.827 -0.83)
0-4 @ 3.93% (-0.34 -0.34)
1-4 @ 3.17% (-0.833 -0.83)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.808 -0.81)
0-5 @ 1.55% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.598 -0.6)
1-5 @ 1.25% (-0.517 -0.52)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 64.74%

Who will win Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between North Korea and Uzbekistan?

North Korea
Draw
Uzbekistan
North Korea
11.8%
Draw
17.6%
Uzbekistan
70.6%
17
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 3pm
Third Round
Uzbekistan
1-0
North Korea
Masharipov (20')
> Preview
Jun 7, 2019 4pm
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
4-0
North Korea
Akhmedov (29' pen.), Abdukholiqov (69'), Krimets (72'), Tursunov (91')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
2-0
North Korea
Bikmaev (37', 90')
Apr 27, 2018 10am
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
2-2
North Korea
rhs 2.0
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