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World Cup
Qatar national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 14, 2024 at 12am UK
Khalifa International Stadium
Uzbekistan national football team

Qatar
vs.
Uzbekistan

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Qatar and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions
Last Game: Iran 4-1 Qatar
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: UAE vs. Qatar
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Uzbekistan

All competitions
Last Game: Uzbekistan 1-0 UAE
Tuesday, October 15 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: North Korea vs. Uzbekistan
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Qatar 1-2 Uzbekistan

 While Qatar were victorious the last time these two sides met, winning 3-2 on penalties after a 1-1 draw, Usbekistan have been much better in the opening matches of Group A, and we expect the visitors to continue that positive start with a win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Qatar win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
QatarDrawUzbekistan
29.22% (-8.181 -8.18) 26.59% (0.299 0.3) 44.19% (7.881 7.88)
Both teams to score 50.2% (-3.035 -3.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.63% (-2.932 -2.93)54.37% (2.929 2.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.25% (-2.5 -2.5)75.75% (2.498 2.5)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46% (-6.819 -6.82)33.54% (6.816 6.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.82% (-8.196 -8.2)70.18% (8.193 8.19)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53% (2.885 2.89)24.46% (-2.887 -2.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (3.9 3.9)58.91% (-3.903 -3.9)
Score Analysis
    Qatar 29.22%
    Uzbekistan 44.19%
    Draw 26.59%
QatarDrawUzbekistan
1-0 @ 8.96% (-0.681 -0.68)
2-1 @ 6.89% (-1.357 -1.36)
2-0 @ 4.9% (-1.468 -1.47)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-1.119 -1.12)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-1.016 -1.02)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.586 -0.59)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.22%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.896 0.9)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.496 -0.5)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 11.55% (2.075 2.08)
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.779 0.78)
0-2 @ 8.13% (1.99 1.99)
1-3 @ 4.17% (0.667 0.67)
0-3 @ 3.82% (1.163 1.16)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.333 0.33)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.484 0.48)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 44.19%

How you voted: Qatar vs Uzbekistan

Qatar
16.3%
Draw
28.6%
Uzbekistan
55.1%
49
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Qatar
1-1
Uzbekistan
(Aggregate 1-1 | Qatar win 3-2 on penalties)
Al Heidos (27')
Barsham (46'), Muneer (89'), Ali (90+1'), Ro-Ro (105')
Khamrobekov (59')
Katanec (47'), Shukurov (69'), Ashurmatov (90')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2018 3pm
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
2-0
Qatar
Akhmedov (73'), Bikmaev (86')
Alibaev (79')

Ali (22'), Hatem (57')
rhs 2.0
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