MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 10:57:33| >> :120:24476:24476:
Iran national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Azadi Stadium
Uzbekistan national football team

Iran
0 - 0
Uzbekistan


Hardani (90')
FT

Khusanov (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Hong Kong 2-4 Iran
Thursday, June 6 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uzbekistan 3-1 Turkmenistan
Thursday, June 6 at 3.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Iran 2-1 Uzbekistan

With the two teams sitting level on 13 points, we think that Tuesday's contest will prove to be a close-fought affair and that Iran will make full use of home advantage to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
IranDrawUzbekistan
46.58% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.82% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 28.6% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.56% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)47.44% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.35% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)69.65% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.42% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)52.87% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.4% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.59%
Score Analysis
    Iran 46.58%
    Uzbekistan 28.6%
    Draw 24.82%
IranDrawUzbekistan
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.58%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.6%

How you voted: Iran vs Uzbekistan

Iran
75.0%
Draw
10.7%
Uzbekistan
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 1pm
Second Round
Uzbekistan
2-2
Iran
Urunov (52'), Sergeev (83')
Aliqulov (3'), Katanec (4'), Sayfiyev (76')
Rezaeian (14'), Taremi (38')
Kanani (48'), Karimi (80')
Oct 8, 2020 2pm
Friendlies 1
Uzbekistan
1-2
Iran
Shomurodov (53')
Tukhtakhujaev (77')
Azmoun (44'), Taremi (51' pen.)
(86')
Sep 11, 2018 4pm
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
0-1
Iran

Sayfiyev (43')
Torabi (67')
Mohammadi (93')
May 19, 2018 5.15pm
International Friendlies
Iran
1-0
Uzbekistan
Cheshmi (17')
Hosseini (90')
rhs 2.0
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